In
1849, gold was discovered in the foothills of the Sierras; the mad
rush to mine out the "gold in them thar hills" created
the State of California, the Barbary Coast of San Francisco, and
the "Big Four" robber barons of the West: Crocker, Stanford,
Huntington and Hopkins. None of these gentlemen actually mined the
gold far from it. Instead, the Big Four sold the miners their
supplies, shipped their gold back to New York and London, banked
their meager earnings, and built the railroads which connected the
coasts.
Fifty years later,
a strike in the Yukon the last great gold rush sent
thousands to die of exposure in the frozen wastes beneath the
Arctic Circle, and, again, only enriched the bankers and merchants
of Seattle and San Francisco. The psychology of the gold rush
is a pathology formed from equal parts of greed and fear; the
desire to be rich as Croesus, amplified by the crushing belief
that any thoughtful delay will be catastrophic to a fantasized
fortune.
The rich will get richer,
while the dot-com miners will suffer early deaths from overwork
and overworry. I mention this not as part of an impassioned post-Marxist
plea to "off the landlords," but rather more in the
sense that those who do not learn from history are condemned to
repeat it. Theres gold in them thar Web, to be sure, but
as in the case of the Amazon river basin our attempts
to mine it may result in a ruination of its fragile and still-nascent
ecosystem.
Although it may seem
polemical to say this, let me state my point clearly: Money is
antithetical to thought. People wont think straight
cant think straight when theres a pile of money
lying in front of them, even if its more-or-less imaginary.
In five years time, when this gold rush has played itself out,
we will be left with a residue of the Web circa 1995, when some
bright Stanford MBA took a "snapshot" of things as they
were, and from this, predicted it would ever be thus.
Though it may be difficult
to admit, our recovery from this sorry state of affairs relies
upon our admission that the Web stopped evolving completely
in 1995. Nothing much has happened since then, although,
for all the sound and fury, youd think the entire world
had been turned upside down. It hasnt; weve simply
been hypnotized by our own lust.
One example to prove
my point: Last year, a nineteen-year-old at Northeastern University
wrote a simple program to allow his friends to share their rapidly-growing
collections of MP3 audio files. Shawn Fanning has single-handedly
created the "killer app" for broadband, redefined how
we think of the Internet, and set the entire $50 billion recording
industry on its head. Napster, whether it survives even another
month, has changed the way we think about the possibilities of
the digital era a Pandoras box that can never be
closed. Already, Napster clones like Gnutella and Scour Acquire
pick up where Napster leaves off, and for now were
in another time of rapid innovation, undoing the conservative
magic which held us in golden handcuffs for five years.
The door is always
open to the new New Thing. Paradoxically, when the new succeeds,
it becomes the poison which drowns out the next New Thing, diverting
attention from innovations which might really be useful, substituting
for them the glittery artifacts of consensus reality. Caught in
a tug-of-war between our better natures and our baser selves,
I wonder if after the gold rush we will be proud
of our own behavior, and happy for the world we helped to create.
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